April 15, 2026·GridPrepped Team

    The 50 Most At Risk Counties in America (According to FEMA)

    We analyzed FEMA's National Risk Index to find which counties face the most natural disaster threats. Nearly 89 million Americans live in the top 50. Is yours on the list?

    Here's a number that should keep you up at night: 88,651,365 Americans live in the 50 highest risk counties in the United States.

    We pulled the latest data from FEMA's National Risk Index, which scores every U.S. county across 18 natural hazards including earthquakes, hurricanes, wildfires, flooding, tornadoes, and more. The index factors in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience to produce a composite risk score.

    The results are eye opening.


    California Dominates the List

    17 of the top 50 counties are in California. That's more than a third of the list. Los Angeles County holds the #1 spot with a perfect risk score of 100, facing "Very High" risk for earthquakes, inland flooding, lightning, and wildfire, plus elevated risk for avalanche, coastal flooding, heat waves, landslides, and tornadoes.

    But California isn't the only state that should be paying attention.

    Florida has 7 counties in the top 50. Texas has 6. New York has 3.


    The Top 25 Most At Risk Counties

    1. Los Angeles County, California (Risk Score: 100.0)
    Pop: 10,005,712 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Wildfire, Lightning

    2. Cook County, Illinois (Risk Score: 100.0)
    Pop: 5,272,775 | Threats: Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Tornado, Flooding, Ice Storm

    3. Harris County, Texas (Risk Score: 99.9)
    Pop: 4,726,200 | Threats: Hurricane, Tornado, Flooding, Cold Wave, Lightning

    4. Riverside County, California (Risk Score: 99.9)
    Pop: 2,416,838 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Wildfire, Heat Wave

    5. Maricopa County, Arizona (Risk Score: 99.9)
    Pop: 4,418,836 | Threats: Heat Wave, Hail, Flooding, Strong Wind, Drought

    6. San Bernardino County, California (Risk Score: 99.8)
    Pop: 2,179,979 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Landslide, Wildfire

    7. Orange County, California (Risk Score: 99.8)
    Pop: 3,183,647 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Coastal Flooding, Wildfire

    8. Alameda County, California (Risk Score: 99.8)
    Pop: 1,678,284 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Coastal Flooding, Wildfire

    9. Santa Clara County, California (Risk Score: 99.7)
    Pop: 1,934,625 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Coastal Flooding, Drought

    10. San Diego County, California (Risk Score: 99.7)
    Pop: 3,295,981 | Threats: Wildfire, Flooding, Earthquake, Heat Wave

    11. King County, Washington (Risk Score: 99.7)
    Pop: 2,268,178 | Threats: Avalanche, Earthquake, Flooding, Volcanic Activity

    12. Dallas County, Texas (Risk Score: 99.7)
    Pop: 2,607,218 | Threats: Hail, Tornado, Heat Wave, Cold Wave, Ice Storm

    13. Miami-Dade County, Florida (Risk Score: 99.6)
    Pop: 2,698,679 | Threats: Hurricane, Coastal Flooding, Lightning, Cold Wave

    14. Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania (Risk Score: 99.6)
    Pop: 1,602,305 | Threats: Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Flooding, Winter Weather

    15. Clark County, Nevada (Risk Score: 99.6)
    Pop: 2,260,510 | Threats: Heat Wave, Flooding, Earthquake, Wildfire

    16. San Francisco County, California (Risk Score: 99.5)
    Pop: 873,808 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Landslide

    17. Contra Costa County, California (Risk Score: 99.5)
    Pop: 1,165,466 | Threats: Flooding, Drought, Earthquake, Heat Wave

    18. Broward County, Florida (Risk Score: 99.5)
    Pop: 1,940,829 | Threats: Hurricane, Coastal Flooding, Lightning, Tornado

    19. Bexar County, Texas (Risk Score: 99.4)
    Pop: 2,007,298 | Threats: Hail, Tornado, Flooding, Heat Wave

    20. Ventura County, California (Risk Score: 99.4)
    Pop: 843,136 | Threats: Flooding, Earthquake, Wildfire, Landslide

    21. Shelby County, Tennessee (Risk Score: 99.4)
    Pop: 929,552 | Threats: Cold Wave, Tornado, Earthquake, Heat Wave

    22. St. Louis County, Missouri (Risk Score: 99.3)
    Pop: 1,003,734 | Threats: Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Hail, Ice Storm, Lightning

    23. Fresno County, California (Risk Score: 99.3)
    Pop: 1,007,944 | Threats: Drought, Earthquake, Heat Wave, Wildfire

    24. Kings County (Brooklyn), New York (Risk Score: 99.3)
    Pop: 2,735,309 | Threats: Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Flooding, Strong Wind

    25. San Mateo County, California (Risk Score: 99.2)
    Pop: 763,661 | Threats: Earthquake, Flooding, Landslide, Coastal Flooding


    Counties 26 through 50

    26. Palm Beach County, Florida — Hurricane, Lightning, Drought
    27. Queens County, New York — Coastal Flooding, Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Strong Wind
    28. Tarrant County, Texas — Hail, Tornado, Ice Storm, Winter Weather
    29. Pima County, Arizona — Heat Wave, Flooding, Lightning, Wildfire
    30. Sonoma County, California — Drought, Earthquake, Wildfire, Landslide
    31. Lee County, Florida — Coastal Flooding, Hurricane, Lightning
    32. Hidalgo County, Texas — Hurricane, Cold Wave, Hail, Ice Storm
    33. Santa Barbara County, California — Drought, Landslide, Earthquake, Wildfire
    34. Wayne County, Michigan — Cold Wave, Tornado, Ice Storm, Flooding
    35. Collier County, Florida — Coastal Flooding, Hurricane, Cold Wave, Lightning
    36. Kern County, California — Drought, Earthquake, Heat Wave, Wildfire
    37. Collin County, Texas — Hail, Tornado, Cold Wave, Heat Wave
    38. Hillsborough County, Florida — Hurricane, Cold Wave, Lightning, Tornado
    39. New York County (Manhattan), New York — Flooding, Strong Wind, Winter Weather
    40. Honolulu County, Hawaii — Flooding, Lightning, Earthquake, Tsunami
    41. Monterey County, California — Drought, Earthquake, Wildfire, Landslide
    42. St. Louis city, Missouri — Heat Wave, Tornado, Earthquake, Ice Storm
    43. Jefferson Parish, Louisiana — Coastal Flooding, Hurricane, Lightning
    44. Charleston County, South Carolina — Coastal Flooding, Hurricane, Earthquake
    45. San Joaquin County, California — Drought, Earthquake, Heat Wave, Flooding
    46. Salt Lake County, Utah — Avalanche, Winter Weather, Earthquake, Wildfire
    47. Pierce County, Washington — Avalanche, Earthquake, Volcanic Activity
    48. Hawaii County, Hawaii — Lightning, Volcanic Activity, Earthquake, Wildfire
    49. Multnomah County, Oregon — Earthquake, Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Ice Storm
    50. Orange County, Florida — Cold Wave, Lightning, Tornado, Strong Wind


    The #1 Hazard Might Surprise You

    It's not earthquakes. It's not hurricanes.

    Inland flooding is rated "Very High" in 25 of the top 50 counties. Half the list.

    Here's how the hazards rank across America's riskiest counties:

    Inland Flooding: 25 counties
    Lightning: 18 counties
    Cold Wave: 14 counties
    Heat Wave: 11 counties
    Tornado: 11 counties
    Hurricane: 10 counties
    Strong Wind: 9 counties
    Winter Weather: 9 counties
    Earthquake: 8 counties
    Ice Storm: 7 counties
    Hail: 7 counties
    Coastal Flooding: 7 counties
    Wildfire: 4 counties
    Drought: 4 counties
    Avalanche: 3 counties

    The disasters that make headlines aren't always the ones that pose the greatest statistical risk to your household.


    What This Means for Your Family

    Living in a high risk county doesn't mean disaster is inevitable. It means preparation isn't optional.

    The counties that score well on FEMA's Community Resilience metric are the ones where households have plans, supplies, and awareness of their local risks. That's not a coincidence.

    The gap between a disaster and a catastrophe is preparation.


    Check Your Household's Risk

    We built GridPrepped to make this personal. Enter your address and see your exact disaster risk profile based on the same FEMA, NWS, and USGS data behind these rankings.

    It's free. It takes 2 minutes. And it might change how you think about your family's safety.

    Check Your Risk at gridprepped.com

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    Data source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025). County level data accessed via the National Risk Index feature service. Risk scores are relative percentile rankings across all U.S. counties.

    GridPrepped is an emergency preparedness platform that helps households assess local disaster risks, build emergency plans, track supplies, and measure readiness.